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7 November 2025,02:48
Weekly Outlook New
7 November 2025, 02:48
The Week Ahead: Week of 10th November 2025 (GMT+3)
Weekly Market Preview
Markets enter mid-November on a cautious footing as investors await critical inflation and growth data to confirm whether the global disinflation narrative remains intact. The U.S. CPI release will anchor the week, providing key insight into whether core price pressures continue to ease toward the Fed’s 2% target. Across the Atlantic, the U.K. will report third-quarter GDP figures amid persistent stagflation risks, while Germany’s CPI will offer a glimpse into Eurozone pricing momentum ahead of November’s broader bloc reading. With Treasury auctions also in focus, bond yields and currency volatility could rise if inflation prints or GDP data deviate from expectations.
Key Events to Watch:
Wednesday, November 12 – 09:00
Germany CPI (MoM) (Oct)
Previous: 0.2% | Forecast: 0.3% | Actual: N/A
Germany’s consumer prices are expected to rise modestly on the month, reflecting stabilizing energy and services costs. A softer print could reaffirm the disinflation trend and support dovish ECB expectations, while stronger-than-expected inflation would suggest persistent underlying pressures and strengthen the euro temporarily.
Wednesday, November 12 – 20:00
U.S. 10-Year Note Auction
Previous: 4.117% | Forecast: N/A | Actual: N/A
The 10-year auction will be closely watched as a gauge of investor demand amid volatile yields. Strong uptake could stabilize Treasury markets and support risk assets, while weak demand might push yields higher and weigh on equities and rate-sensitive sectors.
Thursday, November 13 – 09:00
U.K. GDP (YoY) (Q3)
Previous: 1.4% | Forecast: N/A | Actual: N/A
The third-quarter GDP update will be crucial in assessing whether the U.K. has avoided recession amid sluggish demand and high borrowing costs. A positive surprise could bolster sterling as markets reassess BoE easing prospects, while weak growth may highlight domestic stagnation and deepen pressure on GBP.
Thursday, November 13 – 15:30
U.S. Core CPI (MoM) (Oct)
Previous: 0.2% | Forecast: N/A | Actual: N/A
Core inflation, excluding food and energy, remains the Fed’s preferred measure of underlying price pressures. A print above trend could revive concerns of sticky inflation and push Treasury yields higher, whereas continued moderation would reinforce expectations for mid-2026 rate cuts.
Thursday, November 13 – 15:30
U.S. CPI (YoY) (Oct)
Previous: 3.0% | Forecast: N/A | Actual: N/A
Headline CPI will draw the market’s full attention as traders gauge whether price deceleration has resumed after a volatile summer. A hotter-than-expected reading could reignite USD strength and stall equities, while a softer print would likely trigger a relief rally across risk assets and weigh on the greenback.
Thursday, November 13 – 20:00
U.S. 30-Year Bond Auction
Previous: 4.734% | Forecast: N/A | Actual: N/A
The long-bond auction will test investor appetite for duration amid shifting inflation and rate expectations. Robust demand would stabilize long-end yields and favor equities, while tepid participation could drive another uptick in borrowing costs across markets.
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